March 25, 2008
Source: American Shipper Online
Shipping lines that carry U.S. import
cargo from Asia said they are experiencing "early success
with cost recovery efforts."
The Transpacific Stabilization Agreement, which represents 15
major Asia/U.S. container lines, said "costs continue to
dominate early discussions toward upcoming 2008-2009 service
contracts, which come up for renewal on May 1."
The group reiterated that its members "are seeking rate
increases in their 2008-2009 contracts of $400 per 40-foot container
(FEU) to the West Coast, and $600 per FEU for intermodal and
East Coast all-water shipments, along with a $400 per FEU peak
season surcharge in effect from June 1-Oct. 31."
TSA carriers also reported progress in their negotiations with
customers to recover a greater share of fully accrued bunker
fuel costs.
TSA said weighted average fuel prices across the 12 loading
ports used by lines in their transpacific services topped $530
per ton on March 10, up from $462 at the beginning of February,
and from $295 at the beginning of 2007.
"We have to do better at recovering the full, floating
surcharge," said Brian M. Conrad, TSA executive administrator.
"Customers are now acknowledging that, and are beginning
to work with carriers on solutions that recognize industry's
need to pass these costs on."
"Even with substantial cost recovery, the economics of
serving the U.S. market from Asia will still result in a challenging
profitability picture for most lines", said TSA Chairman
Ron Widdows, chief executive of Singapore-based APL Ltd.
The group said freight traffic will continue to grow in 2008,
on the order of 2 percent to 5 percent by most industry forecasts.
Capacity on the trade is expected to grow only modestly this
year.
TSA said some carriers have reduced capacity during the post-holiday
winter season to meet demand in other markets, perform routine
maintenance and repairs, and cut fuel and other operating costs
as cargo demand slowed.
Some of that capacity will be restored by mid-2008, in time
for the peak shipping season, but net year-on-year capacity
growth for its members for all of 2008 is expected to reach
only a modest 3.3 percent.
Some carriers such as Maersk, Mediterranean Shipping and CMA-CGM,
have announced vessel sharing agreements, and the TSA said these
vessel sharing agreements "will actually produce additional
redeployments and a net decline in transpacific vessel space."
It cited a recent industry presentation by Clarkson Research
Services that showed "effective overall capacity growth
in the trade -- after allowing for vessel loading and infrastructure
constraints, slower sailing speeds and other factors -- will
probably end 2008 in the 2 percent range, in balance with cargo
demand growth."
Demand for ships and favorable rates on other trades such as
the Asia/Europe lane, along with marine bunker fuel prices "will
likely limit some carriers' transpacific ship capacity through
redeployments, slow-steaming and other cost mitigation initiatives."
Widdows noted transpacific lines faced mounting fuel, inland
transport and equipment positioning costs in the past year,
and have responded in the post-holiday period to optimize their
transpacific services.
"Rail rates are up 30 percent, with fuel surcharges added
on," he said. "Marine fuel prices have risen more
than 75 percent since January 2007. The costs of moving containers
through port gateways and the Panama Canal are rising steadily.
The result of operating a ship at less than full utilization
in that environment -- at rates that in many cases barely cover
costs, if at all, is clearly not sustainable."
TSA members reported an average 90 percent to 95 percent utilization
to the U.S. West Coast in January-February 2008, and 95 percent
or higher for all-water East Coast services.
TSA also noted its carriers face uncertainty over the negotiation
of a new contract with West Coast longshoremen by July 1, environmental
programs in Los Angeles and Long Beach, and federal requirement
that port workers obtain Transportation Worker Identification
Credentials or TWIC cards. These all, TSA said, have the potential
to create "shortages of trained longshore personnel, trucks
and drivers, as well as raising regulatory compliance costs."
TSA members are APL, “K” Line, China Shipping, Mediterranean
Shipping Co., CMA CGM, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, COSCO, NYK, Evergreen,
OOCL, Hanjin, Yang Ming, Hapag-Lloyd, Zim and Hyundai.



